In this interesting study, an automatically calculated electronic comorbidity measure,
the Care Assessment Needs (CAN) score, was studied as predictor of life expectancy
in a huge Veterans Health Administration (VHA) patient sample.
1
The score was originally designed to estimate short-term risks of hospitalization
and mortality. The authors demonstrated a strong association of the CAN score with
medium-term mortality after prostate cancer diagnosis.
1
Although this instrument may be automatically available in VHA patients, its high
complexity may hinder its routine use in different institutions. Instruments predicting
life expectancy to support treatment selection in men with early prostate cancer should
not only be accurate but also simple to use.
2
In contrast to some contrary claims,
3
at least in candidates for radical prostatectomy, clinicians are probably able raters
of life expectancy. In our radical prostatectomy series, even patients with the highest
risk of competing mortality (age-adjusted Charlson score of 6 or higher, comprising
only 4% of the sample) had a 10-year non-prostate cancer mortality rate of only 40%
4
and the 50% level was not reached before narrowly 14 years. Complex tools requiring
comprehensive data collection will probably not change routine decision making in
candidates for radical prostatectomy regardless of their accuracy. If the risk classifications
were, however, automatically calculated and readily available, there may be a different
situation. Because of the huge sample size and the detailed information collected,
the impressive data source used in this study
1
should encourage further studies, for instance predicting 90-day mortality in vulnerable
candidates for radical cystectomy.To read this article in full you will need to make a payment
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References
- Using an automated electronic health record score to estimate life expectancy in men diagnosed with prostate cancer in the Veterans Health Administration.Urology. 2021; ([in press])
- Weighted versus unweighted Charlson score to predict long-term other-cause mortality in men with early-stage prostate cancer.Eur Urol. 2014; 66: 1002-1009
- Clinicians are poor raters of life-expectancy before radical prostatectomy or definitive radiotherapy for localized prostate cancer.BJU Int. 2007; 100: 1254-1258
- Patient reported vs claims based measures of health for modeling life expectancy in men with prostate cancer. Letter.J Urol. 2021; 205: 1235-1236
Article info
Publication history
Accepted:
May 9,
2021
Received:
March 9,
2021
Identification
Copyright
© 2021 Published by Elsevier Inc.